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CS2 · Expected return calculator
CS2 CASE ROI CALCULATOR
Mathematical Expected Returns based on live Steam market pricing
Our algorithms utilize Valve's official unboxing drop rates: Mil-Spec (79.92%), Restricted (15.98%), Classified (3.20%), Covert (0.64%), and Rare Special (0.26%). Calculations factor in StatTrak variants and wear condition distributions with daily market synchronization.
MONTE CARLO BUDGET SIMULATOR
$
Allows opening approx. 245 boxes per run across 10,000 separate trials.
// EXPECTING_CALCULATION_STREAMClick the button above to run mathematical trials.
CASE EXPECTED RETURN RANKING
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Сувенирный набор BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $2.04
Expected Value$1.03
50.5%B-Tier
→Гамма-кейс #2
17 ItemsCost: $5.08
Expected Value$2.36
46.5%B-Tier
→Кейс «Призма»
17 ItemsCost: $3.48
Expected Value$1.59
45.6%B-Tier
→Хромированный оружейный кейс
14 ItemsCost: $6.68
Expected Value$3.03
45.4%B-Tier
→Хромированный кейс #2
15 ItemsCost: $5.87
Expected Value$2.63
44.9%F-Tier
→Хромированный кейс #3
17 ItemsCost: $5.45
Expected Value$2.44
44.8%F-Tier
→Гамма-кейс
17 ItemsCost: $5.07
Expected Value$2.27
44.7%F-Tier
→Оружейный кейс операции «Авангард»
14 ItemsCost: $6.45
Expected Value$2.80
43.4%F-Tier
→Перчаточный кейс
17 ItemsCost: $11.94
Expected Value$5.18
43.4%F-Tier
→Оружейный кейс CS:GO, тираж #3
12 ItemsCost: $14.21
Expected Value$6.03
42.4%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Vertigo
18 ItemsCost: $2.11
Expected Value$0.89
42.2%F-Tier
→Кейс «Спектр 2»
17 ItemsCost: $5.03
Expected Value$2.09
41.5%F-Tier
→Кейс операции «Дикое пламя»
16 ItemsCost: $5.08
Expected Value$2.09
41.1%F-Tier
→Кейс «Расколотая сеть»
17 ItemsCost: $6.07
Expected Value$2.49
41.0%F-Tier
→Кейс операции «Гидра»
17 ItemsCost: $27.91
Expected Value$11.45
41.0%F-Tier
→Кейс «Призма 2»
17 ItemsCost: $3.40
Expected Value$1.39
41.0%F-Tier
→Кейс «Змеиный укус»
17 ItemsCost: $2.76
Expected Value$1.12
40.7%F-Tier
→Оружейный кейс операции «Феникс»
13 ItemsCost: $5.57
Expected Value$2.25
40.4%F-Tier
→Тёмный кейс
16 ItemsCost: $3.91
Expected Value$1.57
40.0%F-Tier
→Кейс операции «Сломанный клык»
17 ItemsCost: $7.41
Expected Value$2.95
39.8%F-Tier
→Кейс «Спектр»
17 ItemsCost: $5.51
Expected Value$2.18
39.5%F-Tier
→Летний кейс eSports 2014
17 ItemsCost: $12.65
Expected Value$4.99
39.5%F-Tier
→Кейс «Горизонт»
17 ItemsCost: $3.85
Expected Value$1.48
38.4%F-Tier
→The Spy Tech Collection
17 ItemsCost: $1.60
Expected Value$0.61
38.0%F-Tier
→Кейс «Фальшион»
16 ItemsCost: $3.98
Expected Value$1.51
37.9%F-Tier
→Зимний кейс eSports 2013
12 ItemsCost: $12.71
Expected Value$4.79
37.7%F-Tier
→Охотничий оружейный кейс
15 ItemsCost: $9.25
Expected Value$3.48
37.6%F-Tier
→Револьверный кейс
17 ItemsCost: $5.01
Expected Value$1.87
37.3%F-Tier
→Оружейный кейс Winter Offensive
13 ItemsCost: $10.97
Expected Value$3.95
36.0%F-Tier
→Кейс «Грёзы и кошмары»
17 ItemsCost: $3.37
Expected Value$1.19
35.4%F-Tier
→Оружейный кейс операции «Прорыв»
14 ItemsCost: $9.21
Expected Value$3.26
35.4%F-Tier
→Кейс «Лихорадка»
17 ItemsCost: $3.08
Expected Value$1.08
35.2%F-Tier
→The Arabesque Collection
17 ItemsCost: $1.60
Expected Value$0.55
34.4%F-Tier
→Галерейный кейс
17 ItemsCost: $3.05
Expected Value$1.03
33.7%F-Tier
→Кейс операции «Хищные воды»
17 ItemsCost: $9.20
Expected Value$3.10
33.7%F-Tier
→
Кейс «Запретная зона»
17 ItemsCost: $3.41
Expected Value$1.12
32.9%F-Tier
→Гремучий кейс
17 ItemsCost: $2.68
Expected Value$0.86
32.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Boston 2018 Inferno
5 ItemsCost: $20.80
Expected Value$6.35
30.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Atlanta 2017 Nuke
9 ItemsCost: $52.01
Expected Value$15.83
30.4%F-Tier
→Кейс «Революция»
17 ItemsCost: $2.64
Expected Value$0.78
29.6%F-Tier
→Кейс «Решающий момент»
17 ItemsCost: $2.87
Expected Value$0.84
29.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Mirage
18 ItemsCost: $2.24
Expected Value$0.58
25.7%F-Tier
→Кейс «Разлом»
17 ItemsCost: $2.83
Expected Value$0.71
25.0%F-Tier
→Кейс «Киловатт»
17 ItemsCost: $2.61
Expected Value$0.64
24.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Anubis
15 ItemsCost: $1.78
Expected Value$0.43
24.1%F-Tier
→Оружейный кейс CS:GO, тираж #2
12 ItemsCost: $20.66
Expected Value$4.92
23.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Inferno
18 ItemsCost: $1.80
Expected Value$0.42
23.6%F-Tier
→Кейс операции «Браво»
15 ItemsCost: $57.17
Expected Value$13.46
23.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $4.42
Expected Value$1.03
23.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Rio Major 2022 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $4.54
Expected Value$1.03
22.7%F-Tier
→Кейс eSports 2013
9 ItemsCost: $44.71
Expected Value$10.04
22.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор StarLadder Berlin 2019 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $23.24
Expected Value$5.13
22.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Krakow 2017 Nuke
9 ItemsCost: $77.65
Expected Value$15.83
20.4%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Krakow 2017 Inferno
5 ItemsCost: $31.72
Expected Value$6.35
20.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Vertigo
18 ItemsCost: $4.47
Expected Value$0.89
19.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Ancient
19 ItemsCost: $2.77
Expected Value$0.55
19.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Rio Major 2022 Dust II
18 ItemsCost: $2.69
Expected Value$0.53
19.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Boston 2018 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $26.75
Expected Value$5.13
19.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Mirage
18 ItemsCost: $3.05
Expected Value$0.58
18.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор StarLadder Berlin 2019 Vertigo
5 ItemsCost: $11.83
Expected Value$2.23
18.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Rio Major 2022 Mirage
18 ItemsCost: $3.07
Expected Value$0.58
18.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Boston 2018 Nuke
9 ItemsCost: $85.92
Expected Value$15.83
18.4%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Nuke
18 ItemsCost: $2.04
Expected Value$0.37
18.3%F-Tier
→Оружейный кейс CS:GO
9 ItemsCost: $100.53
Expected Value$18.38
18.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Ancient
19 ItemsCost: $2.99
Expected Value$0.55
18.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $5.70
Expected Value$1.03
18.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор FACEIT London 2018 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $28.63
Expected Value$5.13
17.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Mirage
18 ItemsCost: $3.61
Expected Value$0.58
16.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2016 Nuke
9 ItemsCost: $100.44
Expected Value$15.83
15.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор StarLadder Berlin 2019 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $19.99
Expected Value$3.06
15.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Vertigo
18 ItemsCost: $5.83
Expected Value$0.89
15.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Dust II
18 ItemsCost: $3.59
Expected Value$0.53
14.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор FACEIT London 2018 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $21.69
Expected Value$3.06
14.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2015 Inferno
5 ItemsCost: $47.00
Expected Value$6.35
13.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Boston 2018 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $40.99
Expected Value$5.35
13.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Dust II
18 ItemsCost: $4.24
Expected Value$0.53
12.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Inferno
5 ItemsCost: $51.38
Expected Value$6.35
12.4%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Atlanta 2017 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $41.92
Expected Value$5.13
12.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Krakow 2017 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $42.37
Expected Value$5.13
12.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Katowice 2019 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $42.81
Expected Value$5.13
12.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Nuke
18 ItemsCost: $3.16
Expected Value$0.37
11.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Rio Major 2022 Vertigo
18 ItemsCost: $7.59
Expected Value$0.89
11.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор FACEIT London 2018 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $47.48
Expected Value$5.35
11.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Atlanta 2017 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $48.10
Expected Value$5.35
11.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Ancient
19 ItemsCost: $4.96
Expected Value$0.55
11.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Katowice 2015 Inferno
5 ItemsCost: $58.75
Expected Value$6.35
10.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Katowice 2019 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $28.40
Expected Value$3.06
10.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Katowice 2019 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $50.66
Expected Value$5.35
10.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Rio Major 2022 Ancient
19 ItemsCost: $5.81
Expected Value$0.55
9.4%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Inferno
18 ItemsCost: $4.60
Expected Value$0.42
9.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор FACEIT London 2018 Train
15 ItemsCost: $18.94
Expected Value$1.66
8.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2016 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $60.98
Expected Value$5.35
8.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Boston 2018 Train
15 ItemsCost: $19.38
Expected Value$1.66
8.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Nuke
18 ItemsCost: $4.40
Expected Value$0.37
8.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Krakow 2017 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $63.15
Expected Value$5.35
8.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор StarLadder Berlin 2019 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $12.87
Expected Value$1.03
8.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор MLG Columbus 2016 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $67.32
Expected Value$5.35
7.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $71.29
Expected Value$5.35
7.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2015 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $80.05
Expected Value$5.35
6.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор StarLadder Berlin 2019 Train
15 ItemsCost: $25.00
Expected Value$1.66
6.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Katowice 2015 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $46.99
Expected Value$3.06
6.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $87.84
Expected Value$5.13
5.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Rio Major 2022 Inferno
18 ItemsCost: $7.54
Expected Value$0.42
5.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $54.45
Expected Value$3.06
5.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2015 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $55.40
Expected Value$3.06
5.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2015 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $95.52
Expected Value$5.13
5.4%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Katowice 2019 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $20.14
Expected Value$1.03
5.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор StarLadder Berlin 2019 Inferno
18 ItemsCost: $8.37
Expected Value$0.42
5.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Atlanta 2017 Train
15 ItemsCost: $35.91
Expected Value$1.66
4.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2016 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $113.32
Expected Value$5.13
4.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Atlanta 2017 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $77.58
Expected Value$3.06
3.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2016 Train
15 ItemsCost: $42.93
Expected Value$1.66
3.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2014 Nuke
9 ItemsCost: $416.52
Expected Value$15.83
3.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор MLG Columbus 2016 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $140.60
Expected Value$5.13
3.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2015 Train
15 ItemsCost: $50.81
Expected Value$1.66
3.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Rio Major 2022 Nuke
18 ItemsCost: $12.03
Expected Value$0.37
3.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор FACEIT London 2018 Inferno
18 ItemsCost: $13.70
Expected Value$0.42
3.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор FACEIT London 2018 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $34.68
Expected Value$1.03
3.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор IEM Katowice 2019 Inferno
18 ItemsCost: $15.28
Expected Value$0.42
2.8%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор MLG Columbus 2016 Inferno
5 ItemsCost: $239.39
Expected Value$6.35
2.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Boston 2018 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $43.68
Expected Value$1.03
2.4%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор StarLadder Berlin 2019 Nuke
18 ItemsCost: $16.08
Expected Value$0.37
2.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Katowice 2015 Nuke
9 ItemsCost: $691.46
Expected Value$15.83
2.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Atlanta 2017 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $46.65
Expected Value$1.03
2.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2014 Inferno
5 ItemsCost: $321.76
Expected Value$6.35
2.0%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2015 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $578.37
Expected Value$9.09
1.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Boston 2018 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $591.57
Expected Value$9.09
1.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack 2014 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $349.80
Expected Value$5.13
1.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2016 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $624.35
Expected Value$9.09
1.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор PGL Krakow 2017 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $715.49
Expected Value$9.09
1.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Katowice 2015 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $718.20
Expected Value$9.09
1.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2016 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $82.28
Expected Value$1.03
1.3%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор MLG Columbus 2016 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $741.41
Expected Value$9.09
1.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор FACEIT London 2018 Nuke
18 ItemsCost: $31.33
Expected Value$0.37
1.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $768.43
Expected Value$9.09
1.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ELEAGUE Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone
15 ItemsCost: $795.26
Expected Value$9.09
1.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор MLG Columbus 2016 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $119.38
Expected Value$1.03
0.9%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack 2014 Nuke
9 ItemsCost: $2271.20
Expected Value$15.83
0.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Train
15 ItemsCost: $239.39
Expected Value$1.66
0.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $155.77
Expected Value$1.03
0.7%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2015 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $159.54
Expected Value$1.03
0.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack 2014 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $479.50
Expected Value$3.06
0.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2014 Mirage
14 ItemsCost: $816.95
Expected Value$5.13
0.6%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack 2013
89 ItemsCost: $927.85
Expected Value$5.04
0.5%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack 2014 Cache
13 ItemsCost: $2282.20
Expected Value$5.35
0.2%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II
16 ItemsCost: $2441.48
Expected Value$3.06
0.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор DreamHack 2014 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $936.52
Expected Value$1.03
0.1%F-Tier
→Сувенирный набор ESL One Katowice 2015 Overpass
15 ItemsCost: $1189.64
Expected Value$1.03
0.1%F-Tier
→