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CS2 · Expected return calculator
CS2 CASE ROI CALCULATOR
Mathematical Expected Returns based on live Steam market pricing
Our algorithms utilize Valve's official unboxing drop rates: Mil-Spec (79.92%), Restricted (15.98%), Classified (3.20%), Covert (0.64%), and Rare Special (0.26%). Calculations factor in StatTrak variants and wear condition distributions with daily market synchronization.
MONTE CARLO BUDGET SIMULATOR
$
Allows opening approx. 200 boxes per run across 10,000 separate trials.
// EXPECTING_CALCULATION_STREAMClick the button above to run mathematical trials.
CASE EXPECTED RETURN RANKING
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Sealed Dead Hand Terminal
39 ItemsCost: $2.50
Expected Value$1.90
76.1%S-Tier
→Paris 2023 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1.98
Expected Value$1.46
73.7%A-Tier
→Paris 2023 Inferno Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $2.01
Expected Value$1.17
58.1%B-Tier
→Paris 2023 Nuke Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $2.37
Expected Value$1.35
56.9%B-Tier
→Vadász Fegyverláda
19 ItemsCost: $11.24
Expected Value$6.21
55.2%B-Tier
→CS:GO Fegyverláda 3
12 ItemsCost: $15.48
Expected Value$7.18
46.4%B-Tier
→Árnyék Láda
16 ItemsCost: $4.18
Expected Value$1.90
45.5%B-Tier
→Operation Vanguard Fegyverláda
14 ItemsCost: $7.93
Expected Value$3.52
44.3%F-Tier
→Paris 2023 Vertigo Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $2.32
Expected Value$1.02
44.0%F-Tier
→eSports 2014 Nyári Láda
17 ItemsCost: $15.35
Expected Value$6.49
42.3%F-Tier
→Handzsár Láda
16 ItemsCost: $4.10
Expected Value$1.70
41.5%F-Tier
→Operation Broken Fang Láda
17 ItemsCost: $8.75
Expected Value$3.55
40.5%F-Tier
→Antwerp 2022 Nuke Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $3.42
Expected Value$1.35
39.4%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $3.79
Expected Value$1.46
38.5%F-Tier
→Galéria Láda
15 ItemsCost: $3.32
Expected Value$1.24
37.5%F-Tier
→Operation Hydra Láda
17 ItemsCost: $31.97
Expected Value$11.95
37.4%F-Tier
→Színözön Láda
14 ItemsCost: $7.25
Expected Value$2.69
37.2%F-Tier
→Prizma Láda
17 ItemsCost: $3.86
Expected Value$1.41
36.5%F-Tier
→Shattered Web Láda
17 ItemsCost: $7.63
Expected Value$2.78
36.4%F-Tier
→
Operation Phoenix Fegyverláda
13 ItemsCost: $6.44
Expected Value$2.26
35.1%F-Tier
→Winter Offensive Fegyverláda
13 ItemsCost: $12.68
Expected Value$4.44
35.0%F-Tier
→Operation Bravo láda
15 ItemsCost: $59.34
Expected Value$20.43
34.4%F-Tier
→Paris 2023 Mirage Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $2.36
Expected Value$0.80
34.0%F-Tier
→Kígyómarás Láda
16 ItemsCost: $2.95
Expected Value$0.99
33.7%F-Tier
→Paris 2023 Anubis Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1.91
Expected Value$0.64
33.5%F-Tier
→Antwerp 2022 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $4.41
Expected Value$1.46
33.1%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Inferno Emlékcsomag
5 ItemsCost: $20.89
Expected Value$6.67
31.9%F-Tier
→Gamma 2 Láda
17 ItemsCost: $5.48
Expected Value$1.72
31.4%F-Tier
→Színözön 2 Láda
14 ItemsCost: $6.04
Expected Value$1.88
31.1%F-Tier
→Kesztyűláda
17 ItemsCost: $16.02
Expected Value$4.95
30.9%F-Tier
→Gamma Láda
17 ItemsCost: $5.51
Expected Value$1.70
30.8%F-Tier
→Operation Riptide Láda
17 ItemsCost: $11.80
Expected Value$3.53
29.9%F-Tier
→Prizma 2 Láda
17 ItemsCost: $3.81
Expected Value$1.11
29.1%F-Tier
→Paris 2023 Ancient Emlékcsomag
19 ItemsCost: $2.63
Expected Value$0.76
28.8%F-Tier
→Stockholm 2021 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $5.14
Expected Value$1.46
28.4%F-Tier
→Kilowatt Láda
17 ItemsCost: $2.64
Expected Value$0.74
28.1%F-Tier
→Stockholm 2021 Nuke Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $4.89
Expected Value$1.35
27.6%F-Tier
→Stockholm 2021 Mirage Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $2.91
Expected Value$0.80
27.6%F-Tier
→Színkép 2 Láda
17 ItemsCost: $5.32
Expected Value$1.45
27.3%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Mirage Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $3.02
Expected Value$0.80
26.6%F-Tier
→Törés Láda
17 ItemsCost: $2.98
Expected Value$0.78
26.3%F-Tier
→Visszarúgás Láda
15 ItemsCost: $2.80
Expected Value$0.73
25.9%F-Tier
→Színkép Láda
17 ItemsCost: $6.02
Expected Value$1.54
25.7%F-Tier
→Álmok és Rémálmok Láda
17 ItemsCost: $3.73
Expected Value$0.95
25.4%F-Tier
→Berlin 2019 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $23.24
Expected Value$5.75
24.7%F-Tier
→Berlin 2019 Vertigo Emlékcsomag
5 ItemsCost: $15.72
Expected Value$3.89
24.7%F-Tier
→Forradalom Láda
16 ItemsCost: $2.74
Expected Value$0.68
24.7%F-Tier
→Berlin 2019 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $15.46
Expected Value$3.80
24.6%F-Tier
→Stockholm 2021 Inferno Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $4.77
Expected Value$1.17
24.5%F-Tier
→Antwerp 2022 Mirage Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $3.32
Expected Value$0.80
24.2%F-Tier
→eSports 2013 Téli Láda
12 ItemsCost: $20.98
Expected Value$5.03
24.0%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $24.86
Expected Value$5.75
23.1%F-Tier
→London 2018 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $24.98
Expected Value$5.75
23.0%F-Tier
→Operation Breakout Fegyverláda
14 ItemsCost: $10.48
Expected Value$2.30
21.9%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Dust II Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $2.68
Expected Value$0.59
21.8%F-Tier
→Túlerő Láda
17 ItemsCost: $3.12
Expected Value$0.64
20.6%F-Tier
→Krakow 2017 Inferno Emlékcsomag
5 ItemsCost: $33.61
Expected Value$6.67
19.8%F-Tier
→Stockholm 2021 Ancient Emlékcsomag
19 ItemsCost: $3.86
Expected Value$0.76
19.6%F-Tier
→Berlin 2019 Train Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $18.94
Expected Value$3.68
19.5%F-Tier
→CS:GO Fegyverláda 2
12 ItemsCost: $27.69
Expected Value$5.32
19.2%F-Tier
→CS:GO Fegyverláda
9 ItemsCost: $112.65
Expected Value$20.71
18.4%F-Tier
→Operation Wildfire Láda
16 ItemsCost: $15.39
Expected Value$2.76
18.0%F-Tier
→London 2018 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $21.68
Expected Value$3.80
17.5%F-Tier
→Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $5.97
Expected Value$1.02
17.1%F-Tier
→eSports 2013 Láda
9 ItemsCost: $51.18
Expected Value$8.65
16.9%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Inferno Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $6.95
Expected Value$1.17
16.8%F-Tier
→London 2018 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $38.79
Expected Value$6.45
16.6%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Train Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $22.51
Expected Value$3.68
16.4%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $35.25
Expected Value$5.75
16.3%F-Tier
→London 2018 Train Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $22.59
Expected Value$3.68
16.3%F-Tier
→Színözön 3 Láda
17 ItemsCost: $5.75
Expected Value$0.91
15.8%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $42.22
Expected Value$6.45
15.3%F-Tier
→Stockholm 2021 Dust II Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $3.86
Expected Value$0.59
15.2%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Ancient Emlékcsomag
19 ItemsCost: $5.00
Expected Value$0.76
15.1%F-Tier
→Antwerp 2022 Ancient Emlékcsomag
19 ItemsCost: $5.10
Expected Value$0.76
14.8%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Nuke Emlékcsomag
9 ItemsCost: $60.31
Expected Value$8.78
14.6%F-Tier
→Berlin 2019 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $10.29
Expected Value$1.46
14.2%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $46.13
Expected Value$6.45
14.0%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016 Inferno Emlékcsomag
5 ItemsCost: $48.43
Expected Value$6.67
13.8%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $41.92
Expected Value$5.75
13.7%F-Tier
→Krakow 2017 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $42.37
Expected Value$5.75
13.6%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Train Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $27.78
Expected Value$3.68
13.3%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $29.28
Expected Value$3.80
13.0%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Vertigo Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $8.38
Expected Value$1.02
12.2%F-Tier
→Berlin 2019 Inferno Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $9.60
Expected Value$1.17
12.2%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Nuke Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $11.53
Expected Value$1.35
11.7%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Inferno Emlékcsomag
5 ItemsCost: $57.71
Expected Value$6.67
11.6%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $33.18
Expected Value$3.80
11.5%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016 Train Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $32.37
Expected Value$3.68
11.4%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $51.28
Expected Value$5.75
11.2%F-Tier
→Revolverláda
17 ItemsCost: $14.53
Expected Value$1.58
10.9%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $60.98
Expected Value$6.45
10.6%F-Tier
→Krakow 2017 Nuke Emlékcsomag
9 ItemsCost: $84.96
Expected Value$8.78
10.3%F-Tier
→Berlin 2019 Nuke Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $13.13
Expected Value$1.35
10.3%F-Tier
→Antwerp 2022 Dust II Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $5.75
Expected Value$0.59
10.2%F-Tier
→Krakow 2017 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $65.08
Expected Value$6.45
9.9%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $58.28
Expected Value$5.75
9.9%F-Tier
→Láthatár Láda
17 ItemsCost: $14.59
Expected Value$1.39
9.5%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Inferno Emlékcsomag
5 ItemsCost: $70.64
Expected Value$6.67
9.4%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $65.16
Expected Value$5.75
8.8%F-Tier
→Stockholm 2021 Vertigo Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $11.62
Expected Value$1.02
8.8%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016 Nuke Emlékcsomag
9 ItemsCost: $100.44
Expected Value$8.78
8.7%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $75.71
Expected Value$6.45
8.5%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Inferno Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $14.28
Expected Value$1.17
8.2%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $80.05
Expected Value$6.45
8.1%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Train Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $51.07
Expected Value$3.68
7.2%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $90.50
Expected Value$6.45
7.1%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $53.82
Expected Value$3.80
7.1%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $54.45
Expected Value$3.80
7.0%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $93.94
Expected Value$6.45
6.9%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $87.84
Expected Value$5.75
6.5%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $23.52
Expected Value$1.46
6.2%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $63.28
Expected Value$3.80
6.0%F-Tier
→Veszélyzóna Láda
17 ItemsCost: $19.48
Expected Value$1.10
5.6%F-Tier
→London 2018 Inferno Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $21.55
Expected Value$1.17
5.4%F-Tier
→P250 | Röntgen csomag
1 ItemsCost: $4.15
Expected Value$0.22
5.2%F-Tier
→London 2018 Nuke Emlékcsomag
18 ItemsCost: $29.27
Expected Value$1.35
4.6%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $33.93
Expected Value$1.46
4.3%F-Tier
→London 2018 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $37.63
Expected Value$1.46
3.9%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Nuke Emlékcsomag
9 ItemsCost: $250.39
Expected Value$8.78
3.5%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $44.53
Expected Value$1.46
3.3%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $794.06
Expected Value$24.23
3.1%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $961.13
Expected Value$24.23
2.5%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1047.10
Expected Value$24.23
2.3%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Inferno Emlékcsomag
5 ItemsCost: $291.30
Expected Value$6.67
2.3%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1060.42
Expected Value$24.23
2.3%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1073.66
Expected Value$24.23
2.3%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1093.68
Expected Value$24.23
2.2%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2014 Nuke Emlékcsomag
9 ItemsCost: $416.52
Expected Value$8.78
2.1%F-Tier
→Krakow 2017 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1218.90
Expected Value$24.23
2.0%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Train Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $190.39
Expected Value$3.68
1.9%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $349.80
Expected Value$5.75
1.6%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1542.80
Expected Value$24.23
1.6%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $96.29
Expected Value$1.46
1.5%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $288.52
Expected Value$3.80
1.3%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $119.38
Expected Value$1.46
1.2%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $124.35
Expected Value$1.46
1.2%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Dust II Emlékcsomag
16 ItemsCost: $566.57
Expected Value$3.80
0.7%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Nuke Emlékcsomag
9 ItemsCost: $2271.20
Expected Value$8.78
0.4%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Cache Emlékcsomag
13 ItemsCost: $2282.20
Expected Value$6.45
0.3%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $743.32
Expected Value$1.46
0.2%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2014 Mirage Emlékcsomag
14 ItemsCost: $4616.92
Expected Value$5.75
0.1%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Overpass Emlékcsomag
15 ItemsCost: $1183.07
Expected Value$1.46
0.1%F-Tier
→