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CS2 · Expected return calculator
CS2 CASE ROI CALCULATOR
Mathematical Expected Returns based on live Steam market pricing
Our algorithms utilize Valve's official unboxing drop rates: Mil-Spec (79.92%), Restricted (15.98%), Classified (3.20%), Covert (0.64%), and Rare Special (0.26%). Calculations factor in StatTrak variants and wear condition distributions with daily market synchronization.
MONTE CARLO BUDGET SIMULATOR
$
Allows opening approx. 200 boxes per run across 10,000 separate trials.
// EXPECTING_CALCULATION_STREAMClick the button above to run mathematical trials.
CASE EXPECTED RETURN RANKING
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Sealed Dead Hand Terminal
39 ItemsCost: $2.50
Expected Value$1.95
78.0%S-Tier
→Paris 2023 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1.98
Expected Value$1.36
68.9%A-Tier
→Metsämies-aselaatikko
19 ItemsCost: $11.08
Expected Value$5.98
54.0%B-Tier
→Paris 2023 Vertigo -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $2.16
Expected Value$1.08
50.2%B-Tier
→Paris 2023 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $2.28
Expected Value$1.14
49.9%B-Tier
→CS2-aselaatikko 3
12 ItemsCost: $15.00
Expected Value$7.08
47.2%B-Tier
→Paris 2023 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $1.92
Expected Value$0.87
45.5%B-Tier
→Operaatio Maastopalo -aselaatikko
16 ItemsCost: $5.96
Expected Value$2.70
45.3%B-Tier
→Varjo-aselaatikko
16 ItemsCost: $4.18
Expected Value$1.85
44.2%F-Tier
→Falchion-aselaatikko
16 ItemsCost: $4.10
Expected Value$1.68
41.0%F-Tier
→Operaatio Eturintama -aselaatikko
14 ItemsCost: $7.88
Expected Value$3.22
40.9%F-Tier
→eSports 2014 -kesälaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $15.35
Expected Value$6.22
40.5%F-Tier
→Operaatio Katkennut torahammas -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $8.71
Expected Value$3.48
39.9%F-Tier
→Operaatio Hydra -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $31.68
Expected Value$11.89
37.5%F-Tier
→Pirstaleinen verkko -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $7.67
Expected Value$2.86
37.3%F-Tier
→Paris 2023 Anubis -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1.80
Expected Value$0.66
36.9%F-Tier
→Kirjo-aselaatikko
14 ItemsCost: $7.25
Expected Value$2.67
36.8%F-Tier
→Galleria-aselaatikko
15 ItemsCost: $3.30
Expected Value$1.21
36.7%F-Tier
→Operaatio Feeniks -aselaatikko
13 ItemsCost: $6.25
Expected Value$2.26
36.2%F-Tier
→Prisma-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $3.89
Expected Value$1.39
35.7%F-Tier
→Winter Offensive -aselaatikko
13 ItemsCost: $12.63
Expected Value$4.42
35.0%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $3.98
Expected Value$1.36
34.3%F-Tier
→Käärmeenpisto-aselaatikko
16 ItemsCost: $2.95
Expected Value$1.00
33.9%F-Tier
→Horisontti-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $4.12
Expected Value$1.39
33.8%F-Tier
→CS20-aselaatikko
16 ItemsCost: $3.54
Expected Value$1.19
33.7%F-Tier
→Operaatio Bravo -aselaatikko
15 ItemsCost: $61.72
Expected Value$20.34
32.9%F-Tier
→Paris 2023 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $2.36
Expected Value$0.76
32.2%F-Tier
→Hanska-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $15.31
Expected Value$4.84
31.6%F-Tier
→Paris 2023 Ancient -tuliaispaketti
19 ItemsCost: $2.66
Expected Value$0.83
31.2%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
5 ItemsCost: $21.60
Expected Value$6.72
31.1%F-Tier
→Antwerpen 2022 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $4.41
Expected Value$1.36
30.9%F-Tier
→Gamma 2 -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $5.52
Expected Value$1.70
30.7%F-Tier
→Revolverilaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $5.17
Expected Value$1.58
30.6%F-Tier
→Kirjo 2 -aselaatikko
14 ItemsCost: $6.04
Expected Value$1.84
30.4%F-Tier
→Gamma-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $5.54
Expected Value$1.68
30.3%F-Tier
→Operaatio Ristiaallokko -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $11.70
Expected Value$3.48
29.7%F-Tier
→Vaaravyöhyke-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $3.75
Expected Value$1.11
29.5%F-Tier
→Prisma 2 -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $3.86
Expected Value$1.08
28.0%F-Tier
→Kilowatt-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $2.65
Expected Value$0.74
27.8%F-Tier
→Tukholma 2021 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $2.78
Expected Value$0.76
27.3%F-Tier
→Antwerpen 2022 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $4.22
Expected Value$1.14
26.9%F-Tier
→Spektri 2 -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $5.34
Expected Value$1.42
26.6%F-Tier
→Tukholma 2021 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $5.14
Expected Value$1.36
26.5%F-Tier
→Sirpaleinen laatikko
17 ItemsCost: $2.97
Expected Value$0.78
26.3%F-Tier
→Tukholma 2021 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $4.41
Expected Value$1.14
25.8%F-Tier
→Spektri-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $6.04
Expected Value$1.53
25.3%F-Tier
→Unelmia ja painajaisia -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $3.72
Expected Value$0.94
25.3%F-Tier
→eSports 2013 -talvilaatikko
12 ItemsCost: $19.42
Expected Value$4.91
25.3%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $3.03
Expected Value$0.76
25.1%F-Tier
→Berliini 2019 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $23.24
Expected Value$5.80
25.0%F-Tier
→Rekyyli-aselaatikko
15 ItemsCost: $2.80
Expected Value$0.70
24.9%F-Tier
→Revolution-aselaatikko
16 ItemsCost: $2.74
Expected Value$0.65
23.8%F-Tier
→Antwerpen 2022 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $3.30
Expected Value$0.76
23.0%F-Tier
→Operaatio Läpimurto -aselaatikko
14 ItemsCost: $10.05
Expected Value$2.30
22.9%F-Tier
→Berliini 2019 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $15.46
Expected Value$3.49
22.5%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $2.70
Expected Value$0.60
22.3%F-Tier
→Tukholma 2021 Vertigo -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $4.92
Expected Value$1.08
22.1%F-Tier
→Lontoo 2018 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $26.51
Expected Value$5.80
21.9%F-Tier
→Tukholma 2021 Ancient -tuliaispaketti
19 ItemsCost: $3.92
Expected Value$0.83
21.2%F-Tier
→Clutch-aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $3.10
Expected Value$0.64
20.5%F-Tier
→Krakova 2017 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
5 ItemsCost: $32.74
Expected Value$6.72
20.5%F-Tier
→CS2-aselaatikko 2
12 ItemsCost: $25.87
Expected Value$5.18
20.0%F-Tier
→Lontoo 2018 Train -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $14.24
Expected Value$2.83
19.9%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
9 ItemsCost: $44.03
Expected Value$8.62
19.6%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $30.85
Expected Value$5.80
18.8%F-Tier
→Tukholma 2021 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $4.77
Expected Value$0.87
18.3%F-Tier
→CS2-aselaatikko
9 ItemsCost: $115.42
Expected Value$20.93
18.1%F-Tier
→Antwerpen 2022 Vertigo -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $6.00
Expected Value$1.08
18.1%F-Tier
→Berliini 2019 Vertigo -tuliaispaketti
5 ItemsCost: $22.54
Expected Value$3.72
16.5%F-Tier
→Antwerpen 2022 Ancient -tuliaispaketti
19 ItemsCost: $5.10
Expected Value$0.83
16.3%F-Tier
→eSports 2013 -asekotelo
9 ItemsCost: $51.18
Expected Value$8.25
16.1%F-Tier
→Lontoo 2018 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $21.68
Expected Value$3.49
16.1%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Ancient -tuliaispaketti
19 ItemsCost: $5.19
Expected Value$0.83
16.0%F-Tier
→Kirjo 3 -aselaatikko
17 ItemsCost: $5.64
Expected Value$0.90
15.9%F-Tier
→Tukholma 2021 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $3.87
Expected Value$0.60
15.6%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $22.95
Expected Value$3.49
15.2%F-Tier
→Lontoo 2018 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $49.63
Expected Value$6.89
13.9%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016:n Inferno-tuliaispaketti
5 ItemsCost: $48.43
Expected Value$6.72
13.9%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $41.92
Expected Value$5.80
13.8%F-Tier
→Krakova 2017 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $42.37
Expected Value$5.80
13.7%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Train -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $20.68
Expected Value$2.83
13.7%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Train -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $20.76
Expected Value$2.83
13.6%F-Tier
→Berliini 2019 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $10.29
Expected Value$1.36
13.3%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $52.95
Expected Value$6.89
13.0%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $9.03
Expected Value$1.14
12.6%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $7.06
Expected Value$0.87
12.4%F-Tier
→Rio 2022 Vertigo -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $9.27
Expected Value$1.08
11.7%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
5 ItemsCost: $57.71
Expected Value$6.72
11.6%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016:n Mirage-tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $51.28
Expected Value$5.80
11.3%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016:n Cache-tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $60.98
Expected Value$6.89
11.3%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $33.18
Expected Value$3.49
10.5%F-Tier
→Antwerpen 2022 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $5.75
Expected Value$0.60
10.5%F-Tier
→Krakova 2017 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
9 ItemsCost: $84.96
Expected Value$8.62
10.1%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
5 ItemsCost: $70.64
Expected Value$6.72
9.5%F-Tier
→Berliini 2019 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $9.57
Expected Value$0.87
9.1%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $75.71
Expected Value$6.89
9.1%F-Tier
→Krakow 2017 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $76.44
Expected Value$6.89
9.0%F-Tier
→Berliini 2019 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $13.13
Expected Value$1.14
8.7%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $80.05
Expected Value$6.89
8.6%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016:n Nuke-tuliaispaketti
9 ItemsCost: $100.44
Expected Value$8.62
8.6%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $72.35
Expected Value$5.80
8.0%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016:n Cache-tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $90.50
Expected Value$6.89
7.6%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $93.94
Expected Value$6.89
7.3%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $86.61
Expected Value$5.80
6.7%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $87.84
Expected Value$5.80
6.6%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $54.45
Expected Value$3.49
6.4%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $55.27
Expected Value$3.49
6.3%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016:n Train-tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $44.88
Expected Value$2.83
6.3%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $60.25
Expected Value$3.49
5.8%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Train -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $49.42
Expected Value$2.83
5.7%F-Tier
→Röntgen P250 -paketti
1 ItemsCost: $4.14
Expected Value$0.22
5.3%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016:n Mirage-tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $137.11
Expected Value$5.80
4.2%F-Tier
→Lontoo 2018 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $21.55
Expected Value$0.87
4.1%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
9 ItemsCost: $231.63
Expected Value$8.62
3.7%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $185.15
Expected Value$6.89
3.7%F-Tier
→Lontoo 2018 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $30.85
Expected Value$1.14
3.7%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
18 ItemsCost: $24.01
Expected Value$0.87
3.6%F-Tier
→Lontoo 2018 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $37.63
Expected Value$1.36
3.6%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $42.28
Expected Value$1.36
3.2%F-Tier
→Berliini 2019 Train -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $90.70
Expected Value$2.83
3.1%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016:n Cobblestone-tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $794.06
Expected Value$23.57
3.0%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016:n Cobblestone-tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $970.06
Expected Value$23.57
2.4%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Inferno -tuliaispaketti
5 ItemsCost: $291.30
Expected Value$6.72
2.3%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Cobblestone -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1060.42
Expected Value$23.57
2.2%F-Tier
→Boston 2018 Cobblestone -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1093.68
Expected Value$23.57
2.2%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2014 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
9 ItemsCost: $416.52
Expected Value$8.62
2.1%F-Tier
→Krakow 2017 Cobblestone -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1218.90
Expected Value$23.57
1.9%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cobblestone -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1221.47
Expected Value$23.57
1.9%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $349.80
Expected Value$5.80
1.7%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Cobblestone -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1530.45
Expected Value$23.57
1.5%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1542.80
Expected Value$23.57
1.5%F-Tier
→Katowice 2019 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $90.70
Expected Value$1.36
1.5%F-Tier
→DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Train -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $190.39
Expected Value$2.83
1.5%F-Tier
→Cologne 2016:n Overpass-tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $96.29
Expected Value$1.36
1.4%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $288.52
Expected Value$3.49
1.2%F-Tier
→MLG Columbus 2016:n Overpass-tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $119.38
Expected Value$1.36
1.1%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2015 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $124.35
Expected Value$1.36
1.1%F-Tier
→Atlanta 2017 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $134.46
Expected Value$1.36
1.0%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Dust II -tuliaispaketti
16 ItemsCost: $566.57
Expected Value$3.49
0.6%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Nuke -tuliaispaketti
9 ItemsCost: $2271.20
Expected Value$8.62
0.4%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Cache -tuliaispaketti
13 ItemsCost: $2282.20
Expected Value$6.89
0.3%F-Tier
→DreamHack 2014 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $743.87
Expected Value$1.36
0.2%F-Tier
→ESL One Cologne 2014 Mirage -tuliaispaketti
14 ItemsCost: $4616.92
Expected Value$5.80
0.1%F-Tier
→ESL One Katowice 2015 Overpass -tuliaispaketti
15 ItemsCost: $1183.07
Expected Value$1.36
0.1%F-Tier
→