CS2 Trade Up Contract Guide — How to Profit (2026)

BYHammer Roland
UPDATED6月 2026

Trade Up Contracts are one of the few ways to 'craft' higher-tier skins in CS2. By submitting 10 skins of the same rarity, you receive 1 random skin of the next rarity tier. But the process is far from random — understanding the math behind collection pools, float calculations, and market prices can turn Trade Ups into a consistent profit strategy.

This guide covers everything from the basic mechanics to advanced profitable recipes, with live market data to help you calculate real-time margins.

How Trade Up Contracts Work

Submit exactly 10 skins of the same rarity tier. You receive 1 skin of the next higher tier. The output skin is randomly selected from the collections represented by your 10 input skins. If all 10 inputs are from Collection A, the output will be from Collection A. If 7 are from A and 3 from B, there's a 70% chance of an A output and 30% chance of B.

The Float Calculation Formula

The output float is NOT random. It's calculated as: OutputFloat = (AverageInputFloat × (MaxFloat - MinFloat)) + MinFloat, where MaxFloat and MinFloat are the output skin's float range. This means you can precisely control the output condition by selecting inputs with specific floats. Low-float inputs produce low-float outputs.

Finding Profitable Trade Ups

The key to profitable Trade Ups is finding combinations where the cheapest possible output is worth more than 10× the input cost. Look for collections where: (1) Low-rarity skins are cheap and liquid, (2) The next tier has at least one expensive skin, (3) The collection pool can be manipulated to increase odds of the expensive outcome. Always account for the Steam Market tax (13%) when calculating margins.

StatTrak Trade Ups

StatTrak skins can only be traded up with other StatTrak skins, and the output will also be StatTrak. Since StatTrak versions are rarer and more expensive, StatTrak Trade Ups can be more profitable but require more capital. The same float and collection rules apply.

本月市场深度分析与预算指南

20266月 的 Counter-Strike 2 饰品交易市场中,针对 Sticker 的特定细分需求呈现出了非常有趣的波动。作为玩家个性化配置的重要组成部分,这一类别的皮肤在近期交易中保持了极高的活跃度。通过对我们数据库中当前收录的 25 款热门饰品进行深度实时分析,我们为您整理了本月的市场趋势与购买建议。

根据最新的市场交易数据,当前该榜单中性价比最高、价格最亲民的选择是 Sticker | 印花 | br0 | 2025年奥斯汀锦标赛,其参考价格仅为 $0.01;而该类别中定位最高端的款式则是 USP-S | USP消音版 | 绿色伞兵 (战痕累累),参考价格达到 $8.46。整个榜单的平均交易价格约为 $NaN。与上个月相比,该类别的整体均价呈现出约 3.4% 的稳步下调,这为不同预算层级的买家提供了非常合理的切入时机。

在 CS2 采用全新的 Source 2 引擎后,这一类饰品的视觉表现力得到了颠覆性的提升。特别是带有金属漆面、阳极氧化或高光涂装的皮肤,在全新全局光照系统下展现出了极为逼真的反射效果与色彩深度。即使是磨损度较低的入门级皮肤,其金属质感也远超前作,使得玩家无需花费高昂代价即可在游戏中获得极佳的视觉反馈。

结合当前的市场供需关系,我们建议预算有限的玩家优先锁定那些价格稳定、流通量大的经典款式,例如 Sticker | 印花 | br0 | 2025年奥斯汀锦标赛。这类皮肤不仅保值率极高,而且在二级市场上极易变现。而对于追求独特视觉效果或有长期持有计划的玩家,则可以关注那些产出武器箱已进入稀有掉落池的款式,它们在未来往往伴随着更高的升值空间。

推荐清单与实时价格

01
Sticker | 印花 | nicoodoz(全息)| 2022年里约热内卢锦标赛

Sticker | 印花 | nicoodoz(全息)| 2022年里约热内卢锦标赛

$6.82

This item commemorates the IEM Rio 2022 CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon. This holographic sticker was autographed by professional player Nico Tamjidi playing for Fnatic at the IEM Rio 2022 CS:GO Major Championship.

02
Sticker | 印花 | br0 | 2025年奥斯汀锦标赛

Sticker | 印花 | br0 | 2025年奥斯汀锦标赛

$0.01

This item commemorates the BLAST.tv Austin 2025 CS2 Major Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon. This sticker was autographed by professional player Alexander Bro playing for NRG at the BLAST.tv Austin 2025 CS2 Major Championship.

03
G3SG1 | G3SG1 | 柯罗诺斯 (久经沙场)

G3SG1 | G3SG1 | 柯罗诺斯 (久经沙场)

$485.32
04
Sticker | 印花 | jks | 2019年柏林锦标赛

Sticker | 印花 | jks | 2019年柏林锦标赛

$1.06

This item commemorates the 2019 StarLadder Berlin CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon. This sticker was autographed by professional player Justin Savage playing for Renegades at Berlin 2019.

05
Sticker | Shanghai 2024 Contenders Sticker Capsule

Sticker | Shanghai 2024 Contenders Sticker Capsule

$0.88+2.33%

This item commemorates the Perfect World Shanghai 2024 CS2 Major Championship. This capsule contains a single Shanghai 2024 Contenders participant Paper, Glitter, Holo, or Gold sticker. 50% of the proceeds from the sale of this capsule support the included organizations. That sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.

06
USP-S | USP消音版 | 绿色伞兵 (战痕累累)

USP-S | USP消音版 | 绿色伞兵 (战痕累累)

$8.46+3.55%
08
Falchion Knife | 弯刀(★ StatTrak™) | 表面淬火 (久经沙场)

Falchion Knife | 弯刀(★ StatTrak™) | 表面淬火 (久经沙场)

$248.46-0.05%
09
Shadow Daggers | 暗影双匕(★) | 北方森林 (久经沙场)

Shadow Daggers | 暗影双匕(★) | 北方森林 (久经沙场)

$41.44+0.12%
10
AWP | AWP | 印花集 (久经沙场)

AWP | AWP | 印花集 (久经沙场)

$51.02-1.47%
11
SCAR-20 | SCAR-20 | 大宪章 (战痕累累)

SCAR-20 | SCAR-20 | 大宪章 (战痕累累)

$21.97
12
G3SG1 | G3SG1 | 红碧玉 (崭新出厂)

G3SG1 | G3SG1 | 红碧玉 (崭新出厂)

$0.26-7.14%
13
Nova | 新星 | 捕食者 (久经沙场)

Nova | 新星 | 捕食者 (久经沙场)

$0.19+375.00%
14
M4A1-S | M4A1消音版 | 故障艺术 (崭新出厂)

M4A1-S | M4A1消音版 | 故障艺术 (崭新出厂)

$11.40-0.09%
15
Five-SeveN | FN57 | 三位一体 (略有磨损)

Five-SeveN | FN57 | 三位一体 (略有磨损)

$7.08+107.62%
16
Tec-9 | Tec-9(StatTrak™) | 冰冠 (战痕累累)

Tec-9 | Tec-9(StatTrak™) | 冰冠 (战痕累累)

$0.65-2.99%
17
Negev | 内格夫 | 飞羽 (久经沙场)

Negev | 内格夫 | 飞羽 (久经沙场)

$0.28
18
Sticker | 印花 | 狂牙(全息)

Sticker | 印花 | 狂牙(全息)

$2.70-1.46%

This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.

19
FAMAS | 法玛斯 | 雪怪迷彩 (崭新出厂)

FAMAS | 法玛斯 | 雪怪迷彩 (崭新出厂)

$2.06+2.49%
21
M9 Bayonet | M9 刺刀(★) | 自由之手 (略有磨损)

M9 Bayonet | M9 刺刀(★) | 自由之手 (略有磨损)

$441.88+7.76%
22
M4A1-S | M4A1消音版(StatTrak™) | 闪回 (破损不堪)

M4A1-S | M4A1消音版(StatTrak™) | 闪回 (破损不堪)

$2.79+3.72%
23
Sticker | 印花 | Nodios | 2024年哥本哈根锦标赛

Sticker | 印花 | Nodios | 2024年哥本哈根锦标赛

$0.35

This item commemorates the PGL Copenhagen 2024 CS2 Major Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon. This sticker was autographed by professional player Magnus Olsen playing for ECSTATIC at the PGL Copenhagen 2024 CS2 Major Championship.

25
Five-SeveN | FN57 | 秋日灌木 (久经沙场)

Five-SeveN | FN57 | 秋日灌木 (久经沙场)

$0.19

常见问题与解答

Q:你能从汰换合同中获利吗?

是的,持续获利是可能的。经验丰富的交易者会寻找预期产出价值超过10倍投入成本加手续费的配方。不过,单次汰换仍有概率性——长期多次操作才能稳定盈利。

Q:CS2中最好的汰换合同是什么?

盈利配方随市场价格变化。最佳方法是寻找收藏品中有一件昂贵受限皮肤和数件廉价受限皮肤的军规→受限汰换,然后调整你的10个输入收藏品,最大化产出昂贵皮肤的概率。

Q:你能汰换刀或手套吗?

不能。刀和手套不能用于汰换合同,也无法作为汰换产出。只有编号收藏品中的标准武器皮肤才符合条件。

Q:10个输入皮肤会怎样?

它们会被永久销毁。汰换合同无法撤销。确认前务必仔细检查你的输入。

Q:输入皮肤的顺序重要吗?

不重要。你在汰换界面中放置皮肤的顺序对产出没有影响。只有收藏品分布、稀有度和所有10个输入的平均磨损值才起作用。