CS2 Skin Rarity Guide — All Tiers, Colors & Drop Rates (2026)
CS2 skins are organized into a color-coded rarity system that directly impacts their drop rate and market value. From the common white Consumer Grade skins to the legendary gold Exceedingly Rare knives and gloves, understanding rarity is fundamental to navigating the CS2 economy.
This guide explains every rarity tier, its approximate drop chance, typical price range, and how rarity interacts with collections, cases, and Trade Up Contracts.
The CS2 Rarity Tiers
From most common to rarest: Consumer Grade (White) — the most common drops, typically worth pennies. Industrial Grade (Light Blue) — slightly rarer, still very affordable. Mil-Spec (Blue) — the most common rarity in weapon cases, ~79.92% drop rate. Restricted (Purple) — ~15.98% drop rate from cases. Classified (Pink) — ~3.2% drop rate, mid-tier collectibles. Covert (Red) — ~0.64% drop rate, high-value skins. Exceedingly Rare (Gold) — ~0.26% drop rate, exclusively knives and gloves. Contraband (Orange) — the rarest tier of all, currently only the M4A4 | Howl.
How Rarity Affects Price
Rarity is the primary price driver in CS2. Within the same case, a Covert skin can be worth 100× more than a Mil-Spec skin purely because of the drop rate difference. However, rarity isn't everything — skin popularity, float sensitivity, and community demand also matter. Some rare skins are cheap because of low demand, while some common skins hold value due to high popularity.
Rarity in Trade Up Contracts
Trade Up Contracts allow you to exchange 10 skins of the same rarity for 1 skin of the next higher rarity from the same collection(s). This means Mil-Spec skins can be traded up to Restricted, Restricted to Classified, and so on. The output skin's collection is randomly selected from the collections represented by your input skins, making collection selection a key strategy.
本月市场深度分析与预算指南
在 2026年6月 的 Counter-Strike 2 饰品交易市场中，针对 Sticker 的特定细分需求呈现出了非常有趣的波动。作为玩家个性化配置的重要组成部分，这一类别的皮肤在近期交易中保持了极高的活跃度。通过对我们数据库中当前收录的 25 款热门饰品进行深度实时分析，我们为您整理了本月的市场趋势与购买建议。
根据最新的市场交易数据，当前该榜单中性价比最高、价格最亲民的选择是 AWP | AWP | 巨龙传说 (崭新出厂)，其参考价格仅为 $12101.01；而该类别中定位最高端的款式则是 Sticker | 印花 | iBUYPOWER（全息）| 2014年卡托维兹锦标赛，参考价格达到 $78781.39。整个榜单的平均交易价格约为 $NaN。与上个月相比，该类别的整体均价呈现出约 3.4% 的稳步下调，这为不同预算层级的买家提供了非常合理的切入时机。
在 CS2 采用全新的 Source 2 引擎后，这一类饰品的视觉表现力得到了颠覆性的提升。特别是带有金属漆面、阳极氧化或高光涂装的皮肤，在全新全局光照系统下展现出了极为逼真的反射效果与色彩深度。即使是磨损度较低的入门级皮肤，其金属质感也远超前作，使得玩家无需花费高昂代价即可在游戏中获得极佳的视觉反馈。
结合当前的市场供需关系，我们建议预算有限的玩家优先锁定那些价格稳定、流通量大的经典款式，例如 AWP | AWP | 巨龙传说 (崭新出厂)。这类皮肤不仅保值率极高，而且在二级市场上极易变现。而对于追求独特视觉效果或有长期持有计划的玩家，则可以关注那些产出武器箱已进入稀有掉落池的款式，它们在未来往往伴随着更高的升值空间。
推荐清单与实时价格
Sticker | 印花 | Titan（全息）| 2014年卡托维兹锦标赛
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.
Sticker | 印花 | iBUYPOWER（全息）| 2014年卡托维兹锦标赛
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.
Sticker | 印花 | Reason Gaming（全息）| 2014年卡托维兹锦标赛
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.
Sticker | 印花 | Vox Eminor（全息）| 2014年卡托维兹锦标赛
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.
Sport Gloves | Pandoras Box (factory new)
graffiti | EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This capsule contains a single EMS One Katowice 2014 participant sticker. A portion of the proceeds is shared equally among the included organizations.
graffiti | EMS Katowice 2014 Legends
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This capsule contains a single EMS One Katowice 2014 participant sticker. A portion of the proceeds is shared equally among the included organizations.
Sport Gloves | 运动手套（★） | 树篱迷宫 (崭新出厂)
Sticker | 印花 | Team Dignitas（全息）| 2014年卡托维兹锦标赛
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.
Sticker | 印花 | Team LDLC.com（全息）| 2014年卡托维兹锦标赛
This item commemorates the The 2014 EMS One Katowice CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon.
Sticker | 印花 | bondik（金色）| 2018年波士顿锦标赛
This item commemorates the 2018 ELEAGUE Boston CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon. This gold sticker was autographed by professional player Vladyslav Nechyporchuk playing for Tyloo at Boston 2018. 50% of the proceeds from the sale of this sticker support the included players and organizations.
Sticker | 印花 | NiKo（金色）| 2017年克拉科夫锦标赛
This item commemorates the 2017 PGL Krakow CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon. This gold sticker was autographed by professional player Nikola Kovač playing for FaZe Clan at Krakow 2017. 50% of the proceeds from the sale of this sticker support the included players and organizations.
Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Emerald (stattrak factory new)
M4A4 | M4A4（StatTrak™） | 咆哮 (崭新出厂)
AWP | AWP | 永恒之枪 (崭新出厂)
Butterfly Knife | Doppler Black Pearl (factory new)
Sticker | 印花 | waterfaLLZ（金色）| 2018年波士顿锦标赛
This item commemorates the 2018 ELEAGUE Boston CS:GO Championship. This sticker can be applied to any weapon you own and can be scraped to look more worn. You can scrape the same sticker multiple times, making it a bit more worn each time, until it is removed from the weapon. This gold sticker was autographed by professional player Nikita Matveev playing for Quantum Bellator Fire at Boston 2018. 50% of the proceeds from the sale of this sticker support the included players and organizations.
AWP | AWP | 巨龙传说 (崭新出厂)
常见问题与解答
Q:CS2中的违禁品稀有度是什么？
违禁品是CS2中最稀有的等级，目前仅分配给M4A4 | 咆哮。这款皮肤原本是隐秘级，但因版权纠纷被重新分类，无法再从箱子中获取。现有的存世量是唯一存在的数量。
Q:每种稀有度的确切掉落率是多少？
根据社区研究：军规级（蓝色）约79.92%，受限级（紫色）约15.98%，保密级（粉色）约3.2%，隐秘级（红色）约0.64%，极其稀有（刀/手套）约0.26%。StatTrak版本出现在约10%的适用掉落中。
Q:稀有度会影响游戏玩法吗？
不会。稀有度纯粹是外观和经济上的区别。消费级皮肤在游戏中的表现与隐秘级皮肤完全相同。
Q:我能从随机掉落中获得隐秘级皮肤吗？
不能。随机比赛结束掉落只会从当前收藏品中给予消费级和工业级皮肤。要获得保密级和隐秘级皮肤，你需要开箱、使用汰换合同或在市场上购买。